📄 03 — Second‑Order Thinking
Definition
Consider the consequences of consequences.
When to Use
• Automation • Policy changes • Systemic decisions
How It Improves Reasoning
Prevents unintended side effects.
Steps
- Identify first‑order effects.
- Map second‑order effects.
- Evaluate tradeoffs.
Example
Automating irrigation may increase water use unless paired with soil‑moisture feedback.
Prompts
• “Map first‑ and second‑order effects of this decision.”