📄 29 — Anchoring

Definition

The tendency to rely too heavily on the first piece of information encountered.

When to Use

• Negotiations • Pricing • Forecasting • Planning • Estimation

How It Improves Reasoning

It helps you adjust away from arbitrary or misleading anchors.

Steps

  1. Identify the anchor.
  2. Evaluate whether it is relevant.
  3. Re‑estimate independently.
  4. Compare and adjust.

Example

A first price offer sets expectations even if it’s unreasonable.

Prompts

• “Identify anchors affecting this decision.” • “Re‑estimate without using the initial anchor.”