๐๏ธ Investment Policy Statement (IPS)
๐ฆ Accounts & Custodians
- Schwab: IRA, Roth IRA, Inherited IRA, taxable brokerage
- Vanguard: Taxable brokerage
- Fidelity: HSA
- USAA: Savings account
๐ฑ Currency Transfers
- Use Wise or Spartan FX for USD โ EUR transfers (from USAA to Millennium)
๐ก Investment Strategy
-
Core Holdings:
- US Stocks (broad index)
- US Treasury Bonds
- Gold
-
Excluded Assets:
- No actively managed funds, derivatives, REITs, individual real estate, commodities, individual stocks
- No leverage
-
Fee Discipline:
- Prioritize lowest-cost funds
๐๏ธ Asset Location Policy
- Allocate by relative tax efficiency
- Gold is prohibited in taxable accounts
๐ Asset Allocation Policy
- Bond Allocation = Age โ 20
- Gold Allocation = 5โ10% (via low-cost spot price ETF)
๐งญ Current Allocation (Age 60):
- 30% VTI โ Total US Stock Market
- 30% AVUV โ US Small Cap Value
- 12% GOVZ โ Long-Term US Treasury Bonds
- 13% GLDM โ Gold
- 10% DBMF โ Managed Futures
- 5% Cash/T-Bills
๐ฐ Contribution & Deployment Policy
- Automate contributions whenever possible
- Deploy investable cash immediately (no DCA or market timing)
- Automatically reinvest dividends
โ๏ธ Rebalancing Policy
- Threshold: Rebalance when allocation drifts ยฑ20% from target
- Frequency: Review quarterly
- Mechanism: Use rebalancing as a Shannonโs Demon strategy โ systematically capture volatility
- Visual Aids:
๐ฆ Withdrawal Strategy
- Base Rate: 4โ4.5% annually, withdrawn quarterly
- Adjustments:
- Use CAPE-based adjustments (Video Guide)
- Adjust annually for EU CPI
- Withdrawal Calculator
๐ Possible Future Update: Explore amortized withdrawal method for smoother cash flow
๐ Change Management Policy
- Asset/Allocation Changes: Require 3-month waiting period unless fund is liquidated
- IPS Revisions: Require 6-month waiting period
๐ฏ Why This Works โ The IPS Philosophy
-
Diversification with Low Correlation Assets (Holy Grail Principle):
Spreads risk across different sources of return -
Macro-Allocation Drives Returns:
Asset allocation explains ~90% of portfolio outcomes (Correlations Tool) -
Simplicity Principle:
Complexity is a cost. A simple, disciplined approach maximizes efficiency and reduces behavioral risk -
Behavioral Guardrails:
Clear rules help avoid emotional decisions and market timing traps -
Shannonโs Demon (Rebalancing Alpha):
By consistently rebalancing, you buy low, sell high, and potentially capture volatility-based growth -
Evidence-Based Withdrawal Strategy:
A CAPE-informed, inflation-adjusted withdrawal approach balances sustainability with spending needs
๐ Summary Checklist
- โ Use passively managed index funds only
- โ No leverage, no derivatives, no REITs, no individual stocks
- โ Automate contributions and reinvest dividends
- โ Rebalance quarterly or at ยฑ20% drift, using Shannonโs Demon principle
- โ Withdraw 4โ4.5% annually, adjusted for CAPE and CPI
- โ Apply change management waiting periods
- โ Ignore headlines โ stick to the plan
๐ References & Further Reading
- Bogleheads IPS Guide
- New Retirement IPS Guide
- Risk Parity Radio โ Principles
- Kitces on Rebalancing
- Monte Carlo Analysis Tool
- Monevator on Threshold Rebalancing
โ๏ธ โIgnore short-term noise. Stay the course. Think long-term.โ